2024 Election Voter Turnout Map: See Where Trump Gained and Harris Lost

It may seem obvious. Donald Trump won the election with the most votes. He improved his vote total, about 2.5 million more votes than he received four years ago. But Kamala Harris’ loss also had an impact, as did the outcome. Compared to Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s performance in 2020, she received about 7 million fewer votes.

A New York Times analysis found that Ms. Harris failed to attract new voters in three of seven battleground states and 80% of counties nationwide. In areas where Biden matched or exceeded his vote total, he fell short of Trump’s.

It remains to be seen how many Biden voters supported Trump this term or did not vote at all. But the decline in support for Ms. Harris in some of the country’s most liberal sectors has been particularly pronounced. Compared to Mr. Biden, she lost hundreds of thousands of votes in major cities such as Chicago, Los Angeles and New York, and received about 10 percent fewer votes overall in counties that Mr. Biden won four years ago.

By contrast, Trump won new voters in most counties, with large gains in red states such as Texas and Florida, as well as blue states such as New Jersey and New York.

Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, acknowledged that Biden supporters leaning toward Trump contributed to Harris’ loss, but pointed to low Democratic turnout as a larger factor. .

“They just weren’t excited,” Sabato said of Democratic voters. “Maybe they were disillusioned because of inflation or because of the border. And they had no incentive to get up and vote.”

The national shift to the right is a continuation of voting patterns seen in the past two elections. Even with his 2020 loss, Trump found new voters across the country. (Both parties won more votes in 2020 than in 2016.) And although Democrats outperformed expectations in 2022, when some were predicting a “red wave,” rising prices and the pandemic They lost many voters who were dissatisfied with the regulations and immigration policies of the era.

At the local level, three different patterns help explain the overall results in 2024.

1. Both candidates received votes, but Trump received more votes.

Both parties gained new voters in the hotly contested state of Georgia, but Mr. Trump outperformed Ms. Harris. For example, in Fulton County, which includes most of Atlanta, Ms. Harris received about 4,500 votes, while Mr. Trump received more than 7,400 votes.

How did the number of votes in the Atlanta election change?

Where each candidate got
even more votesor
low number of votes 2024 compared to 2020

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Harris

Written by Eli Murray, Elena Xiao, Charlie Smart, Christine Chan

In addition to gaining in the Atlanta area, Trump also gained new voters in every other region of Georgia. Biden returned the state to Republicans after winning the state in 2020. He similarly outperformed Harris in Wake County, North Carolina, Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, and Montgomery County, Texas.

2. Trump gained a little and Harris lost a little.

In the battleground state of Milwaukee County, Wisconsin, Harris lost 1,200 fewer voters than Biden in 2020, while Trump gained more than 3,500.

How did the number of votes in the Milwaukee election change?

Where each candidate got
more votesor
low number of votes 2024 compared to 2020

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Harris

Written by Eli Murray, Elena Xiao, Charlie Smart, Christine Chan

Harris still won the county overall, but her approval ratings in the county and other liberal enclaves in Wisconsin were lower than Trump’s in rural blue-collar counties that voted Republican in 2016 and 2020. It wasn’t enough to prevent victory.

Democrats’ inability to maintain their vote share in battleground states was also evident in key areas around Charlotte, North Carolina, Flint, Michigan, and Scranton, Pennsylvania.

3. If Trump gains a little and Harris loses a lot.

Trump won Miami-Dade County, Florida, becoming the first Republican to win it since 1988. But then again, Harris’ loss was as much talked about as his acquisition. Trump gained about 70,000 new votes in the county, while she lost about $140,000.

How did the vote totals change in the Miami precinct?

Where each candidate got
even more votesor
low number of votes 2024 compared to 2020

playing cards

Harris

Written by Eli Murray, Elena Xiao, Charlie Smart, Christine Chan

There were similar voting disparities in other counties that Mr. Trump flipped. In 21 of those 77 counties, Trump received fewer votes this election than he did in 2020, but the drop in Democratic votes was even greater. This happened from coast to coast, from Fresno County, California, to Pinellas County, Florida.

Joel Benenson, chief pollster for President Barack Obama’s campaign, said he believes the Democratic Party’s lack of a presidential primary is hurting Democratic turnout. (Biden withdrew from the race in July.) He said the process helps activate core voters who volunteer, make phone calls and knock on doors early in the year. Ta.

“This was a huge challenge for Vice President Harris, who had a short runway and would have benefited from a full-fledged primary season,” Benenson said. “Republicans fought in the primaries. Even with a former president, they didn’t just leave it to him.”

Trump was clearly able to leverage enthusiasm beyond his position. He made gains across nearly every demographic, education and income demographic, including those who traditionally make up Democratic coalitions. Among the same group, Harris fell behind Biden.

Pre-election polls showed minority voters leaning toward Mr. Trump, and Mr. Trump appeared to be making gains with them. Preliminary analysis of precinct data shows he attracted votes in predominantly Hispanic counties and black neighborhoods in major cities. But like Harris, she lost votes in black-majority counties, especially in southern counties where overall turnout declined.

Trump won new voters in more than 30 states, including battleground states where the campaign was intense. His gains in most other places were modest. Harris outperformed Biden in only four of the seven battleground states, and in five overall.

John McLaughlin, a Trump campaign pollster, said the campaign was focused on finding supporters who were not reliable voters and making sure they turned out to vote. He said an internal poll found that voters who did not vote in 2022 and 2020 but did vote in 2024 supported Mr. Trump by a margin of 52% to 46%.

“The strategy was very similar to 2016, which was to draw out apathetic voters who thought the country was going in the wrong direction,” McLaughlin said. “These voters criticized Biden and Harris and generally showed positive support for Trump.”