To Restore Abortion Rights, Democrats Must Win the Senate

If Democrats manage to win the White House but lose the Senate majority, people in Republican-controlled states will be forced to become pregnant against their will for another two years. It’s really simple. There will be no restoration of abortion rights without the Senate. new york timesand the few Republican voters who claim to be “undecided” can playfully ask for all the information they want about Kamala Harris’ policies, but without the Senate (and Democratic control of the House), there’s nothing to do. I can’t. Kamala Harris’ politics. Just a speech and a few executive orders that would be overturned by a Republican-controlled Supreme Court — mind you, the Supreme Court will never be reformed if Republicans control the Senate.

Unfortunately, it seems unlikely that the Democrats will take control of the Senate. new new york times/Siena Poll Frankly, it shows that the Democratic Party’s chances of success are dire. Democrats will lose only two seats in the next election. Joe Manchin, West Virginia’s “Democrat” and real boy-shaped oil slick, has decided not to run for re-election against the state’s popular Republican former governor, Jim Justice. His opponent, Democrat Glenn Elliott, is someone I had to Google because I couldn’t remember his name, even though I write about this for a living. West Virginia is gone.

In other words, the Democratic Party can no longer lose seats. Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, an actual populist, is in a tough battle with Republican Bernie Moreno in a state that Trump is likely to win. However, Mr. Moreno is literally a car salesman and has never held elected office. Supported by Crypto Brothers. I know this thin, empty resume worked for J.D. Vance at Ohio State, but Moreno doesn’t even have a book to fall back on to criticize his own family. Sherrod Brown must be protected at all costs.

In Arizona, Democrat Ruben Gallego thankfully appears poised to defeat Republican xenophobic Kali Lake. Kyrsten Sinema, on the other hand, is undoubtedly gearing up for a career in lobbying and punditry that will one day (God willing) land her exclusively on CNN. But in Montana, Democratic Sen. Jon Tester appears to be in dire straits. According to new york times/ Siena polls show him losing easily to Tim Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL and wealthy businessman with a family fortune. All Sheehee does is run around declare it She deplores the fact that while women have been “indoctrinated” to support abortion, all women “want to talk about” his plan to take away their right to bodily autonomy. Apparently, that’s enough for Montana voters.

If Tester is going to lose to Haircut, who thinks women should be forced to have children even if they don’t want to, Democrats need to pick up one more seat. The most likely state, according to the pollster, is Texas, where Democrat Colin Allred trails the hated Ted Cruz by four points (still within the margin of error). In Florida, Debbie Mucarsel Powell (whom she cut off from Act Blue because her mother was sending him a lot of money) appears to be on his tail. medicare fraud supervisor Rick Scott. She loses by 9 points. new york times/Siena poll (but recent marist vote The race will be shown closer).

Florida, Montana, and Texas are all states that Trump is likely to win. This means that for Democrats to remain in the Senate, many voters will need to go to the polls and cast their votes. for It’s Trump though against Republican candidate for Senate. That could be the case if there are voters who want Trump to become president but want him to be restrained in some way by the Senate. But have you ever met someone who voted for Trump? When was the last time you met a cult member who said, That’s a great plan. ” If the future of abortion rights depends on the votes of Republicans who want to give President Trump more power but don’t want him to be too strong, then there is no future for abortion rights.

This leaves only one possible way for Democrats to take the Senate. Harris needs to win one of those states, and Senate candidates must ride her tailwind. The tester decided to go in the opposite direction: he still Not technically approved Harris as president. He has made the political calculation that Montana is not going to support Harris and is distancing himself from her as much as reasonably possible. And I wish him luck. I’m not from Montana, so I can’t speak to how politically toxic it is to be with an educated black woman in Montana. Let’s see how the all-white, all-time strategy works for him.

In Texas, Colin Allred is supporting Harris, who also continues to campaign for president.at arm’s length” That Allred happens to be black is hardly obvious from his media strategy, which doesn’t include many hits in black- or Latino-focused media. Again, good luck. The last Democrat to win a Texas Senate race was Lloyd Bentsen, and he certainly accomplished that feat as Texans voted for a Republican (George H.W. Bush) for president. . Of course, that was back in 1988, before the iPhone or Flex Seal was invented, but sure, let’s go ahead and make it happen again.

In Florida, Debbie Mucarsel Powell appears to be the only candidate not running. away From Harris, with Mr. Mucarsel Powell I’m saying The switch to Harris gave Florida Democrats a boost. However, the Harris campaign appears to have written off Florida State. The vice president has not visited the state since becoming the party’s nominee to replace Joe Biden.

Look, I’m not a political scientist or campaign expert. I don’t know how to win a Senate race in a red state. Even if I won, I wouldn’t be the Clark Kent journalist I’m writing this article on. I want to be like Superman and go out there and literally save the country. If you run me for the Texas Senate, I’ll give you 30 points to a Republican whose only qualification is to be one of the players that Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones allows to clean his glasses. He would lose by a margin.

But a strategy that expects voters to split their ticket between Trump and a Democratic Senate candidate seems deeply flawed to me. The best chance for Tester, Allred and Mucarsel-Powell is that a vibrant Democratic base turns out in record numbers and leads them to victory. Kamala Harris, currently the most energetic force in Democratic politics, is perhaps the best way to get record numbers of Democratic voters to vote, if there are enough of them to make a difference. .

Perhaps the Harris campaign is allowing the Electoral College to ignore Harris without kicking the candidate in states like Florida and Texas, over the obvious objections of people like Tester and Allred. But it could be done. But somehow, Democrats will need a slew of votes to have any chance of saving the Senate and enacting Harris’ policies.

In case you’re wondering, the 2026 Senate map isn’t that good. The only potentially vulnerable Republicans are the worrying Sens. Susan Collins of Maine and Thom Tillis of North Carolina. Democrats must defend Jon Ossoff of Georgia and Gary Peters of Michigan.

With that in mind, I urge Democrats to develop a basic sense of self-preservation and add the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico as states if they ever have the opportunity to do so again, as they once did. I intend to make a mandatory request. 2020. Otherwise, a Republican-controlled Senate and a country that forces women to give birth against their will is the most likely outcome for the foreseeable future.