The Groundhog Day arrived on Sunday, February 2, and the most famous ground hog props, Punxsutawney Phil, saw his shadow and predicted the winter weather for another six weeks. Boooo says we are already tired of the cold. However, there are several questions about the accuracy of Phil. In fact, the name of the name Sand Mountain Sam At Boaz, Alabama predicted early spring this year when he did not see the shadow. Anyway, how accurate the prognosis of these animals?
The National Marine Air Bureau was checked PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL results Last year, I discovered that the predictions of the Paste Ambassador were missing. This year, NOAA deeply jumped into the results of the ground hog day, I scored 19 ground hog work The ground hog performs on behalf of the prediction accuracy. Spoiler: Phil has arrived on the 17th.
NOAA ranks ground hog
NOAA has set some basic rules. The ground hog and the “alternative ground hog” must have existed on a prognosis for at least 20 years. It must have been active as of February 2, 2024. Competitors include 13 ground hog, three stuffed ground hog. Ground Hog, image of dogs on the prairie, not presumed to be a turtle, and cannot be seen.
NOAA used data from a national center for environmental information that maintains an archive of the ocean, weather, and climate data. The agency compared GroundHogs to the March temperature average from 2005 to 2024.
All Staten Island Chuck, a wood chuck at Staten Zoo in New York. Chuck, also known as Charles G. Hogg, has the ranking top with 85 % accuracy. He bitten the mayor in 2009 when Michael Bloomberg tried to cooperate with him for the ceremony of the ground hog day.
The next best ground hog was a general Boryguard. Dauset Trails Nature Center In Jackson, Georgia, 80 % accuracy. Third place belongs to Randerill, a bronze statue of a meadow dog in Lander, Wyoming. Lander Lil has entered with 75 % accuracy. The ground hog does not live in Wyoming, but playy dogs do so. The prognosis principle is the same. If Randerrill “sees” the shadow on the day of the ground hog, winter is expected.
How did PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL carry
Overall, 14 of the ground hog had more than 50 % accuracy. Poor PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL managed only 35 % of accuracy, so he approached him to the bottom of the ranking. At least he is more accurate Mohabemax, a desert turtle in the Springs protection area in Nevada, won the last spot with 25 % accuracy.
However, the ranking may not be fair for Mojave Max. The turtle is not parade on the day of the ground hog. His prediction is based on the time when he appears from the bloomation (like the reptile’s hibernation). Max occurs every February and April every year.
“The temperature is high, the daytime is long, and his own internal clock is known to contribute to his appearance every year.” Clark County Desert Conservation Program mentioned。 His appearance shows the unofficial beginning of spring in South Nevada.
Groundhog Day has been traditional in Gobbler’s Gonob in Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania since the late 1800s. Ruishing the weather forecast of NOAA’s Woodchuck does not impair the pleasure of celebration. The Phil lacks the accuracy of pure reputation, cuteness, and charismatic. So go ahead and support Phil. But, perhaps your spring plan is based on the rodents of Staten Island, not Punks Towny.