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President-elect Trump’s election victory has increased confidence in the state of the global economy, according to a new survey measuring CEO sentiment after the election.
The survey was conducted by Teneo three weeks after the election and included the opinions of more than 300 global public company CEOs and 380 institutional investors representing approximately $10 trillion in corporate and portfolio value. are. It was first reported that wall street journal.
It found that 77% of global CEOs expect the global economy to improve in the first half of 2025, up 32 points from 45% last year. This sentiment was shared by 86% of investors.
Teneo CEO Paul Keary said: “Since Teneo conducted this research, we have seen significant agreement between CEOs and investors on the direction of the global economy, and confidence has never been higher. I understand that.”
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CEOs and investors are optimistic about 2025, as President-elect Trump will soon return to the White House. (David Dee Delgado/AFP via Getty Images/Getty Images)
“Buoyed by the ‘Trump effect’, markets are expecting a resurgence in M&A, job growth, and higher levels of US and foreign investment. The US clearly benefits from much of this positive activity and is the most “It will solidify its position as a significant investment ‘destination for global business,'” Keeley added.
More than 80% of CEOs and investors expect the mergers and acquisitions market to be highly profitable in 2025, up from 68% last year.
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This comes after the Biden-Harris administration has scrutinized merger proposals and successfully mounted legal challenges to mergers like the Albertsons-Kroger merger that was blocked last week.
Half of global CEOs said they were accelerating their activities in areas such as domestic and international investment as a result of the 2024 elections. The United States ranks as the most attractive investment destination among global CEOs.
US President-elect Donald Trump speaks next to SoftBank Chairman and CEO Masayoshi Son at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida on Monday, December 16th. (Reuters/Brian Snyder/Reuters)
Nearly two-thirds (64%) of survey respondents said they believe policy changes related to tariffs, taxes and deregulation will have a positive impact on business in 2025.
There was a difference in opinion between large- and mid-cap CEOs regarding the impact of tariffs. While 80% of mid-cap CEOs said they believe higher tariffs on U.S. imports would have a positive impact, only 13% of large-cap CEOs agreed.
More than three-quarters (76%) of CEOs say the election outcome will improve the global economy and global stability, and 83% of investors hold this view. Both CEOs and investors expressed confidence that companies are well-positioned to address a range of potentially disruptive geopolitical issues, including the Middle East conflict and Russia’s war against Ukraine.
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The percentage of CEOs who say China plays an important role in their company’s corporate strategy has more than doubled over the past two years, from 20% in 2023 to 47% in 2025. About a third of CEOs and investors, 32% and 31%, respectively, said policy disruption related to China would have the greatest negative impact on their business.
Environmental, social and governance (ESG) policies are also under new scrutiny, with 91% of CEOs saying they are recalibrating their ESG efforts due to the politicization of policy, up from 72% last year. It increased from
Among this group, 40% are becoming more selective about the issues and themes they address, while one in four are scaling back their ESG programs. Despite these concerns, 56% of global CEOs say they remain committed to balancing ESG priorities with core business objectives.
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The survey also found that investors and CEOs have different views on artificial intelligence (AI) investing. Almost 80% of investors expect their AI projects to generate a positive return on investment within the first year, but 41% of CEOs of large companies say they will invest in AI before expecting positive results. We are willing to allow our efforts to mature over the next 1-2 years.
